NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 18, 2025
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 25 | 20 | 80.6% | 1 | 36.4 | 1 |
| 2 | Karl Loiseau | 18 | 21 | 60.0% | 2 | 28.3 | 2 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 18 | 19 | 56.2% | 3 | 27.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Matt McEwan | 16 | 21 | 53.3% | 4 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 16 | 19 | 50.0% | 5 | 26.3 | 5 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 15 | 20 | 48.4% | 6 | 24.2 | 7 |
| 6 | Mike Thorne | 15 | 19 | 46.9% | 7 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 8 | Andrew Moeller | 13 | 21 | 43.3% | 8 | 23.8 | 8 |
| 8 | Luke Phelan | 13 | 21 | 43.3% | 8 | 22.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Nick Boucher | 10 | 21 | 33.3% | 10 | 20.3 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New England Patriots | 9 | 12.3 | CIN | 0.77 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 11.8 | KC | 0.38 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 12.3 | DAL | 0.62 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 9 | 12.3 | – | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6 | 9.8 | ARI | 0.59 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 5.4 | – | |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 8 | 12.3 | TB | 0.72 |
| Chicago Bears | 7 | 10.0 | PIT | 0.61 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 6.0 | JAX | 0.41 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 11.0 | CAR | 0.73 |
| Houston Texans | 5 | 8.5 | BUF | 0.3 |
| Miami Dolphins | 4 | 6.8 | – | |
| Matt McEwan | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 11.4 | HOU | 0.7 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7 | 11.2 | TEN | 0.87 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 4.4 | CLE | 0.61 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Carolina Panthers | 6 | 8.2 | SF | 0.27 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 9.4 | NYJ | 0.87 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 6.6 | GB | 0.28 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 9.9 | – | |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 10.1 | MIN | 0.72 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 5.0 | DET | 0.18 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 10.3 | NYG | 0.82 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 7.3 | PHI | 0.38 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 6.2 | NO | 0.45 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 9.3 | CHI | 0.39 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 10.2 | LA | 0.28 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 3.0 | SEA | 0.13 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 9.9 | IND | 0.62 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 6.2 | NE | 0.23 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 4.2 | LV | 0.39 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 9 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 17 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| Chicago Bears | 7 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Denver Broncos | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 14 | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Matt McEwan | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 5 | 8 | -1 | 4 |
| Houston Texans | 5 | 15 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Miami Dolphins | 4 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 2 | 9 | -4 | 14 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 16 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| Carolina Panthers | 6 | 29 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 7 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 19 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 22 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 10 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 24 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 15 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 13 | 6 | -3 | 10 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Draft Results
